Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Knokke to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKnokke to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Knokke vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the First Amateur Division brings Knokke against Merelbeke at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Knokke, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Houtvenne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Merelbeke, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mandel United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Knokke 1.7 xG, Merelbeke 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Knokke 57%, draw 17%, Merelbeke 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Knokke to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Knokke 1–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Knokke57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.50
Merelbeke25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.67Knokke xG
0.97Merelbeke xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Knokke 1.7 – 1.0 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Knokke to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.44
Draw no bet
Knokke (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Merelbeke +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Knokke to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Knokke / FT Knokke✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Knokke – last 6
LWDLWL
10 Oct
@ Houtvenne
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
3–2
W
30 Sep
@ Zelzate
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Seraing United
2–5
L
20 Sep
vs Spouwen-Mopertingen
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge II
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
LDDLWL
11 Oct
vs Mandel United
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Tienen
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Dessel Sport
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Knokke and Merelbeke.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Knokke vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Knokke have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Merelbeke 25%.
How many goals will there be in Knokke vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Knokke vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Knokke 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Knokke vs Merelbeke?
Knokke vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Standard Liège II1
Flénu0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4
Harelbeke1