Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Houtvenne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHoutvenne to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Houtvenne vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Houtvenne welcome Merelbeke for a First Amateur Division fixture on Saturday 24 October (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Houtvenne, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lyra-Lierse Berlaar, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Merelbeke, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Knokke, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Houtvenne, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Merelbeke.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houtvenne 1.9 xG, Merelbeke 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houtvenne 56%, draw 19%, Merelbeke 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Houtvenne to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houtvenne 1–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houtvenne56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.30
Merelbeke25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.86Houtvenne xG
1.14Merelbeke xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Houtvenne 1.9 – 1.1 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houtvenne to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Houtvenne (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Merelbeke +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Houtvenne to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Houtvenne ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houtvenne / FT Houtvenne✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Houtvenne – last 6
WWLWLW
17 Oct
@ Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Knokke
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hoogstraten
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Mandel United
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Lokeren-Temse
0–5
L
20 Sep
@ Zelzate
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
WLDDLW
18 Oct
@ Knokke
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mandel United
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Tienen
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Dessel Sport
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houtvenne and Merelbeke.
What is the prediction for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Houtvenne have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Merelbeke 25%.
How many goals will there be in Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Houtvenne 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Houtvenne vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dessel Sport2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II2
RWDM1
Albert Quévy-Mons2
Rochefort4
Olympic Charleroi0
Roeselare Daisel2
Knokke1
Zelzate1
Heist5