Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeist to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceHeist or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Merelbeke vs Heist: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Merelbeke welcome Heist for a First Amateur Division fixture on Friday 6 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Merelbeke, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Roeselare Daisel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Heist, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Houtvenne, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Heist, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Merelbeke.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merelbeke 0.9 xG, Heist 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merelbeke 13%, draw 20%, Heist 67%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heist to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merelbeke 0–2 Heist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merelbeke13%fair 7.90 · @4.55
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.00
Heist67%fair 1.48 · @1.53
3.14Expected goals
0.89Merelbeke xG
2.25Heist xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Merelbeke 0.9 – 2.3 Heist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heist to win✗
67%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Heist or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Draw no bet
Heist (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Heist -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.59
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
First team to score
Heist to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Heist ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heist / FT Heist✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Merelbeke – last 6
LDWLDD
30 Oct
vs Roeselare Daisel
0–4
L
24 Oct
@ Houtvenne
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Knokke
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mandel United
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Tienen
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Dessel Sport
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Heist – last 6
WWWLDW
31 Oct
vs Houtvenne
4–0
W
24 Oct
@ Zelzate
5–1
W
21 Oct
vs Tienen
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Antwerp
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merelbeke and Heist.
Our pick is Heist to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Heist?
On our numbers Merelbeke have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heist 67%.
How many goals will there be in Merelbeke vs Heist?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merelbeke vs Heist?
Our predicted score is Merelbeke 0–2 Heist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Merelbeke vs Heist?
Merelbeke vs Heist (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
