Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBaglan Dragons to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.10
Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baglan Dragons welcome Afan Lido for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 4 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Baglan Dragons are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Afan Lido are 7th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baglan Dragons, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caerphilly Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Afan Lido, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ynyshir Albions, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Baglan Dragons, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Afan Lido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baglan Dragons 1.5 xG, Afan Lido 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baglan Dragons 44%, draw 22%, Afan Lido 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baglan Dragons 1–1 Afan Lido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baglan Dragons44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Afan Lido33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
2.83Expected goals
1.54Baglan Dragons xG
1.29Afan Lido xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.5 – 1.3 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baglan Dragons to win✓
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Baglan Dragons (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Afan Lido +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Baglan Dragons to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baglan Dragons / FT Baglan Dragons✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Baglan Dragons – last 6
LWWWLD
31 Aug
vs Caerphilly Athletic
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Llantwit Major
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Swansea University
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Afan Lido – last 6
DLWLWL
31 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
2–5
L
21 Aug
vs Pontardawe Town
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Carmarthen Town
1–3
L
7 Aug
vs Llantwit Major
5–0
W
1 Aug
vs Aberystwyth Town
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Afan Lido.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Afan Lido 33%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–1 Afan Lido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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