Llantwit Major 29%Draw 21%Cardiff Draconians 50%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.69
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff Draconians to win50% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.04
Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the FAW Championship brings Llantwit Major against Cardiff Draconians. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Llantwit Major are 15th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 12 matches; Cardiff Draconians are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Llantwit Major, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Trethomas Bluebirds, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Cardiff Draconians, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Swansea University, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llantwit Major 1.4 xG, Cardiff Draconians 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llantwit Major 29%, draw 21%, Cardiff Draconians 50%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llantwit Major29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.00
Cardiff Draconians50%fair 2.00 · @1.73
3.11Expected goals
1.41Llantwit Major xG
1.69Cardiff Draconians xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
2–26%
0–26%
From our goals model: Llantwit Major 1.4 – 1.7 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Llantwit Major
Cardiff Draconians
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-16%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.41
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff Draconians to win
50%
2.00
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Cardiff Draconians (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Llantwit Major +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Cardiff Draconians to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Llantwit Major – last 6
DLWLDL
7 Nov
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs Newport City
2–3
L
23 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Trefelin
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Pontardawe Town
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
LWLWDD
7 Nov
@ Swansea University
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Afan Lido
2–0
W
23 Oct
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Radnor Valley
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Carmarthen Town
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Newport City
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llantwit Major and Cardiff Draconians.
What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
On our numbers Llantwit Major have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff Draconians 50%.
How many goals will there be in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our predicted score is Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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