Pontypridd Town 69%Draw 18%llanelli AFC 12%Expected goals 2.86 – 1.23
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✓69% · @1.18
Double chancePontypridd Town or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Pontypridd Town v llanelli AFC in the FAW Championship, played at USW Sports Park. In the table, Pontypridd Town are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; llanelli AFC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pontypridd Town, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Newport City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Afan Lido, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for llanelli AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontypridd Town 2.9 xG, llanelli AFC 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontypridd Town 69%, draw 18%, llanelli AFC 12%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontypridd Town 2–1 llanelli AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontypridd Town69%fair 1.44 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @6.00
llanelli AFC12%fair 8.14 · @10.00
4.09Expected goals
2.86Pontypridd Town xG
1.23llanelli AFC xG
64%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.9 – 1.2 llanelli AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✓
69%
1.44
1.18
Double chance
Pontypridd Town or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.55
Draw no bet
Pontypridd Town (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Pontypridd Town -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
First team to score
Pontypridd Town to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Pontypridd Town – last 6
DDWLWL
23 Oct
@ Newport City
4–4
D
10 Oct
@ Baglan Dragons
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Aberystwyth Town
1–3
L
25 Sep
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Afan Lido
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLLL
23 Oct
vs Afan Lido
0–3
L
16 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Ynyshir Albions
2–6
L
2 Oct
vs Baglan Dragons
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Llantwit Major
0–2
L
11 Sep
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and llanelli AFC.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and llanelli AFC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 llanelli AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
