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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Dorados: numbers & prediction

0–2
FT

Dorados

WLWLD
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 55%Draw 24%Dorados 21% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.12
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlebrijes de Oaxaca to win ✗55% · @1.75
Double chanceAlebrijes de Oaxaca or draw ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 31 July the Liga De Expansión MX brings Alebrijes de Oaxaca against Dorados. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Dorados are 13th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Venados FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dorados, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tapatío, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dorados, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3–2 Dorados.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.8 xG, Dorados 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alebrijes de Oaxaca 55%, draw 24%, Dorados 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 Dorados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alebrijes de Oaxaca55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.70
Dorados21%fair 4.72 · @4.40
2.96Expected goals
1.84Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
1.12Dorados xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.8 – 1.1 Dorados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Alebrijes de OaxacaDorados
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average-23%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+35%
Our expected goals here1.941.26

Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlebrijes de Oaxaca to win ✗55%1.831.75
Double chanceAlebrijes de Oaxaca or draw ✗79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.83
Draw no betAlebrijes de Oaxaca (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapDorados +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
First team to scoreAlebrijes de Oaxaca to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultAlebrijes de Oaxaca ahead at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alebrijes de Oaxaca / FT Alebrijes de Oaxaca ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6

LWLLDL
26 Jul@ Venados FC0–3L
18 Apr@ Correcaminos Uat3–1W
11 Aprvs CDS Tampico Madero1–2L
4 Apr@ Tepatitlán0–2L
28 Marvs Leones Negros UDG1–1D
21 Mar@ CA La Paz0–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dorados – last 6

WLWLDL
18 Aprvs Tapatío3–1W
4 Apr@ Tlaxcala0–2L
29 Marvs Correcaminos Uat2–1W
22 Mar@ Atlante FC0–2L
15 Marvs Leones Negros UDG1–1D
9 Mar@ CDS Tampico Madero0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Dorados3–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?

On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dorados 21%.

How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?

Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 Dorados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.