Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones Negros UDG welcome CDS Tampico Madero to Estadio Jalisco for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Leones Negros UDG are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Leones Negros UDG, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Correcaminos Uat, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cruz Azul Hidalgo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leones Negros UDG, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for CDS Tampico Madero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones Negros UDG 1.4 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones Negros UDG 43%, draw 23%, CDS Tampico Madero 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones Negros UDG 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones Negros UDG43%fair 2.34 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
CDS Tampico Madero35%fair 2.88 · @3.05
2.57Expected goals
1.37Leones Negros UDG xG
1.20CDS Tampico Madero xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leones Negros UDG 1.4 – 1.2 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones Negros UDG to win✓
43%
2.34
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
Leones Negros UDG (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
CDS Tampico Madero +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Leones Negros UDG to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones Negros UDG / FT Leones Negros UDG✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Leones Negros UDG – last 6
LWWLWD
7 Aug
vs Correcaminos Uat
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Cancún
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Tlaxcala
4–2
W
12 Apr
@ Venados FC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Monarcas
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
WLDLLL
9 Aug
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Tapatío
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Piratas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones Negros UDG and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Leones Negros UDG have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CDS Tampico Madero 35%.
How many goals will there be in Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Leones Negros UDG 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
