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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tapatío v Mineros de Zacatecas: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Akron
4–2
FT
Tapatío 41%Draw 21%Mineros de Zacatecas 38% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.91
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTapatío to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.05

Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mineros de Zacatecas travel to face Tapatío on Monday 24 August in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Akron the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Tapatío are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tapatío, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Correcaminos Uat, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Venados FC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Mar 2026) it ended Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Tapatío.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tapatío 2.0 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.9 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tapatío 41%, draw 21%, Mineros de Zacatecas 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapatío 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tapatío41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Mineros de Zacatecas38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
3.88Expected goals
1.97Tapatío xG
1.91Mineros de Zacatecas xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Tapatío 2.0 – 1.9 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTapatío to win ✓41%2.462.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.57
Draw no betTapatío (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapMineros de Zacatecas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
First team to scoreTapatío to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗34%2.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tapatío / FT Tapatío ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.05–

Recent results

Tapatío – last 6

WLWDLL
15 Aug@ Correcaminos Uat3–2W
9 Aug@ Venados FC2–3L
2 Augvs CDS Tampico Madero1–0W
27 Julvs Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–0D
3 Jul@ Leon2–4L
27 Apr@ Cancún0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6

WDWDLL
15 Augvs Venados FC5–1W
7 Aug@ Dorados2–2D
1 Augvs Tlaxcala3–1W
25 Julvs Correcaminos Uat3–3D
10 Jul@ Atletico San Luis0–4L
4 Julvs FC Juarez1–3L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Mar 2026Mineros de Zacatecas v Tapatío2–1
Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

On our numbers Tapatío have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mineros de Zacatecas 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.