Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Monarcas to win @ 1.81 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMonarcas to win ✗61% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Monarcas v Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Morelos. In the table, Monarcas are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Monarcas, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruz Azul Hidalgo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Correcaminos Uat, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tapatío, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 2.3 xG, Correcaminos Uat 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 61%, draw 14%, Correcaminos Uat 25%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Monarcas to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monarcas61%fair 1.63 · @1.81
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.95
Correcaminos Uat25%fair 4.03 · @3.80
3.68Expected goals
2.31Monarcas xG
1.37Correcaminos Uat xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.3 – 1.4 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✗
61%
1.63
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Monarcas (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Correcaminos Uat +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.20
First team to score
Monarcas to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Monarcas ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Monarcas – last 6
WWLWDL
15 Aug
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Cancún
4–1
W
2 Aug
@ Piratas
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs CA La Paz
4–2
W
5 Jul
vs Cruz Azul
3–3
D
20 Jun
@ Necaxa
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LWWDDL
15 Aug
vs Tapatío
2–3
L
7 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Tepatitlán
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
3–3
D
4 Jul
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
1 Jul
vs Necaxa
3–6
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Correcaminos Uat 25%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
