Tlaxcala 59%Draw 21%Venados FC 20%Expected goals 2.35 – 1.35
80%
Betarazi pick
Tlaxcala or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tlaxcala to win @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTlaxcala to win ✓59% · @1.93
Double chanceTlaxcala or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Tlaxcala vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Venados FC travel to face Tlaxcala on Saturday 29 August in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Tlahuicole the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Tlaxcala are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tlaxcala, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tepatitlán, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Venados FC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Venados FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Tlaxcala.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Tlaxcala 2–2 Venados FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tlaxcala 2.4 xG, Venados FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tlaxcala 59%, draw 21%, Venados FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Tlaxcala or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Tlaxcala to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tlaxcala or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tlaxcala 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tlaxcala59%fair 1.69 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.55
Venados FC20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
3.70Expected goals
2.35Tlaxcala xG
1.35Venados FC xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 2.4 – 1.3 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Tlaxcala or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Venados FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Venados FC?
Tlaxcala vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
