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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CA La Paz v Mineros de Zacatecas: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Guaycura
3–0
FT
CA La Paz 42%Draw 20%Mineros de Zacatecas 39% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.92
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCA La Paz to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.15

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Liga De Expansión MX brings CA La Paz against Mineros de Zacatecas at Estadio Guaycura. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CA La Paz, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cancún, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CDS Tampico Madero, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.0 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.9 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 42%, draw 20%, Mineros de Zacatecas 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CA La Paz42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.75
Mineros de Zacatecas39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
3.92Expected goals
2.00CA La Paz xG
1.92Mineros de Zacatecas xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.0 – 1.9 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA La Paz to win ✓42%2.402.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.40
Draw no betCA La Paz (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapMineros de Zacatecas +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
First team to scoreCA La Paz to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultCA La Paz ahead at half-time ✓34%2.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✓25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.15–

Recent results

CA La Paz – last 6

WDWWLL
28 Aug@ Cancún2–1W
22 Augvs Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1D
15 Augvs Piratas2–0W
8 Aug@ Tepatitlán5–0W
1 Augvs Durango0–1L
26 Jul@ Monarcas2–4L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6

WLWDWD
30 Augvs CDS Tampico Madero2–0W
24 Aug@ Tapatío2–4L
15 Augvs Venados FC5–1W
7 Aug@ Dorados2–2D
1 Augvs Tlaxcala3–1W
25 Julvs Correcaminos Uat3–3D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas.

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

On our numbers CA La Paz have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mineros de Zacatecas 39%.

How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Our predicted score is CA La Paz 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.