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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v CA La Paz: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 27%Draw 21%CA La Paz 52% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.72
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultCA La Paz to win ✓52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 25 September the Liga De Expansión MX brings Alebrijes de Oaxaca against CA La Paz. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30.

Current form

Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cancún, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

CA La Paz, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Correcaminos Uat, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended CA La Paz 4–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.2 xG, CA La Paz 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alebrijes de Oaxaca 27%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 52%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alebrijes de Oaxaca27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
CA La Paz52%fair 1.94 · @2.00
2.89Expected goals
1.17Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
1.72CA La Paz xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.2 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA La Paz to win ✓52%1.942.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.55
Draw no betCA La Paz (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapAlebrijes de Oaxaca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreCA La Paz to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✓31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6

LWLDLW
20 Sep@ Cancún0–3L
11 Sepvs Durango1–0W
6 Sep@ Monarcas1–4L
28 Augvs Tapatío1–1D
23 Aug@ CDS Tampico Madero1–2L
14 Augvs Tepatitlán1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CA La Paz – last 6

WDWWDW
19 Sepvs Correcaminos Uat3–1W
13 Sep@ Leones Negros UDG2–2D
5 Sepvs Mineros de Zacatecas3–0W
28 Aug@ Cancún2–1W
22 Augvs Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1D
15 Augvs Piratas2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026CA La Paz v Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CA La Paz 52%.

How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.