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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Correcaminos Uat v CDS Tampico Madero: numbers & prediction

Correcaminos Uat 43%Draw 21%CDS Tampico Madero 36% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.49
58%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: CDS Tampico Madero to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Correcaminos Uat v CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Correcaminos Uat are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Correcaminos Uat, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CA La Paz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended CDS Tampico Madero 3–1 Correcaminos Uat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correcaminos Uat 1.7 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Correcaminos Uat 43%, draw 21%, CDS Tampico Madero 36%.
  • Price worth noting: CDS Tampico Madero to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correcaminos Uat 2–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correcaminos Uat43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
CDS Tampico Madero36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.17Expected goals
1.68Correcaminos Uat xG
1.49CDS Tampico Madero xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.7 – 1.5 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✓43%2.302.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betCorrecaminos Uat (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapCDS Tampico Madero +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreCorrecaminos Uat to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Correcaminos Uat / FT Correcaminos Uat ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Correcaminos Uat – last 6

LDLDWL
19 Sep@ CA La Paz1–3L
12 Sepvs Cancún2–2D
6 Sep@ Piratas1–4L
29 Augvs Durango0–0D
21 Aug@ Monarcas3–1W
15 Augvs Tapatío2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

CDS Tampico Madero – last 6

DLWLWL
20 Sepvs Dorados1–1D
12 Sep@ Tlaxcala1–3L
6 Sepvs Venados FC4–3W
30 Aug@ Mineros de Zacatecas0–2L
23 Augvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca2–1W
16 Aug@ Leones Negros UDG0–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026CDS Tampico Madero v Correcaminos Uat3–1
Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero?

On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CDS Tampico Madero 36%.

How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 2–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Correcaminos Uat vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.