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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Correcaminos Uat: numbers & prediction

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13%Draw 24%Correcaminos Uat 64% Expected goals 0.91 – 2.14
87%
Betarazi pick

Correcaminos Uat or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceCorrecaminos Uat or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Alebrijes de Oaxaca, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Piratas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Correcaminos Uat, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cruz Azul Hidalgo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Correcaminos Uat 1–3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0.9 xG, Correcaminos Uat 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13%, draw 24%, Correcaminos Uat 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Correcaminos Uat or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Correcaminos Uat or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0–2 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alebrijes de Oaxaca13%fair 7.77 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.90
Correcaminos Uat64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
3.05Expected goals
0.91Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
2.14Correcaminos Uat xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0.9 – 2.1 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✗64%1.571.65
Double chanceCorrecaminos Uat or draw ✗87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.44
Draw no betCorrecaminos Uat (draw no bet) ✗83%1.20–
Asian handicapCorrecaminos Uat -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreCorrecaminos Uat to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultCorrecaminos Uat ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Correcaminos Uat / FT Correcaminos Uat ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6

LLLWLD
4 Oct@ Piratas0–4L
25 Sepvs CA La Paz1–3L
20 Sep@ Cancún0–3L
11 Sepvs Durango1–0W
6 Sep@ Monarcas1–4L
28 Augvs Tapatío1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Correcaminos Uat – last 6

DWLDLD
3 Octvs Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–0D
26 Sepvs CDS Tampico Madero1–0W
19 Sep@ CA La Paz1–3L
12 Sepvs Cancún2–2D
6 Sep@ Piratas1–4L
29 Augvs Durango0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Correcaminos Uat v Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our pick is Correcaminos Uat or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?

On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Correcaminos Uat 64%.

How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0–2 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.