CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tlaxcala travel to face CA La Paz on Saturday 17 October in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Guaycura the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Tlaxcala are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
CA La Paz, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Tapatío, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Tlaxcala, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Piratas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended CA La Paz 2–0 Tlaxcala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.5 xG, Tlaxcala 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 63%, draw 18%, Tlaxcala 19%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA La Paz63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @4.60
Tlaxcala19%fair 5.16 · @4.80
3.79Expected goals
2.47CA La Paz xG
1.32Tlaxcala xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.5 – 1.3 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tlaxcala 19%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
