Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceCancún or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Tepatitlán vs Cancún: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tepatitlán welcome Cancún for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 24 October (02:00 WAT). In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; Cancún are 5th (upper half) with 25. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Piratas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cancún, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Venados FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cancún, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Tepatitlán.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Cancún 2–2 Tepatitlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.1 xG, Cancún 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 16%, draw 23%, Cancún 60%.
Lower-risk option: Cancún or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–2 Cancún. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán16%fair 6.19 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
Cancún60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
3.35Expected goals
1.12Tepatitlán xG
2.23Cancún xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.1 – 2.2 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cancún 60%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–2 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
Tepatitlán vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
