Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Piratas vs Cancún: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cancún travel to face Piratas on Sunday 23 August in the Liga De Expansión MX – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; Cancún are 5th (upper half) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piratas, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CA La Paz, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cancún, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Durango, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Piratas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Cancún.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 1.5 xG, Cancún 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 58%, draw 23%, Cancún 19%.
Lower-risk option: Piratas or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Piratas to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 1–0 Cancún. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piratas58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Cancún19%fair 5.14 · @4.80
2.14Expected goals
1.46Piratas xG
0.68Cancún xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Piratas 1.5 – 0.7 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
Piratas or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Draw no bet
Piratas (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Cancún +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Piratas to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Recent results
Piratas – last 4
LWWD
15 Aug
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Durango
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Monarcas
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cancún – last 6
WLLLWL
16 Aug
vs Durango
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Monarcas
1–4
L
2 Aug
vs Leones Negros UDG
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Toluca
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Monterrey
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Cancún.
Our pick is Piratas to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?
On our numbers Piratas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cancún 19%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Cancún?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Piratas 1–0 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Cancún?
Piratas vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
