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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alashkert v Ararat: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Alashkert Stadium
3–0
FT

Ararat

DDLLW
Alashkert 69%Draw 20%Ararat 11% Expected goals 2.24 – 0.78
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlashkert to win ✓69% · @1.35
Double chanceAlashkert or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Alashkert vs Ararat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 3 August the Premier League brings Alashkert against Ararat at Alashkert Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Alashkert are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Ararat are 9th (lower half) with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Alashkert, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CFR 1907 Cluj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Ararat, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sardarapat, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alashkert, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ararat.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Alashkert 2–0 Ararat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alashkert 2.2 xG, Ararat 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alashkert 69%, draw 20%, Ararat 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alashkert 2–0 Ararat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alashkert69%fair 1.44 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.20
Ararat11%fair 9.15 · @8.25
3.01Expected goals
2.24Alashkert xG
0.78Ararat xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alashkert 2.2 – 0.8 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlashkert to win ✓69%1.441.35
Double chanceAlashkert or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.90
Draw no betAlashkert (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAlashkert -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreAlashkert to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultAlashkert ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alashkert / FT Alashkert ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Alashkert – last 6

LDDDWW
30 Jul@ CFR 1907 Cluj0–3L
23 Julvs CFR 1907 Cluj1–1D
16 Jul@ Yelimay Semey1–1D
9 Julvs Yelimay Semey1–1D
26 Mayvs Shirak2–0W
9 Mayvs Gandzasar3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ararat – last 6

DDLLWL
19 Jul@ Sardarapat1–1D
26 Mayvs BKMA1–1D
19 May@ FC Noah3–8L
10 Mayvs FC Urartu0–1L
1 May@ Shirak2–0W
14 Apr@ Alashkert0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026Alashkert v Ararat2–0
Alashkert vs Ararat head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alashkert vs Ararat?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alashkert vs Ararat?

On our numbers Alashkert have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ararat 11%.

How many goals will there be in Alashkert vs Ararat?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alashkert vs Ararat?

Our predicted score is Alashkert 2–0 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Alashkert vs Ararat?

Alashkert vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alashkert Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.