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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ararat v Sardarapat: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Ararat

LDDLL
1–2
FT
Ararat 32%Draw 25%Sardarapat 43% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.73
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSardarapat to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.84

Ararat vs Sardarapat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the Premier League brings Ararat against Sardarapat at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ararat are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Sardarapat are 5th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Ararat, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Alashkert, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Sardarapat, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Van, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sardarapat, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Ararat.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Sardarapat 1–1 Ararat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat 1.4 xG, Sardarapat 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat 32%, draw 25%, Sardarapat 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat 1–2 Sardarapat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat32%fair 3.11 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Sardarapat43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
3.11Expected goals
1.38Ararat xG
1.73Sardarapat xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ararat 1.4 – 1.7 Sardarapat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSardarapat to win ✓43%2.332.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betSardarapat (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapArarat +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreSardarapat to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sardarapat / FT Sardarapat ✓28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.84–

Recent results

Ararat – last 6

LDDLLW
3 Aug@ Alashkert0–3L
19 Jul@ Sardarapat1–1D
26 Mayvs BKMA1–1D
19 May@ FC Noah3–8L
10 Mayvs FC Urartu0–1L
1 May@ Shirak2–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sardarapat – last 6

WDWWDW
31 Jul@ Van4–1W
19 Julvs Ararat1–1D
25 May@ Bentonit Ijevan3–1W
17 Mayvs Syunik2–1W
11 May@ Andranik1–1D
5 Mayvs Ararat-Armenia II4–2W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Sardarapat v Ararat1–1
Ararat vs Sardarapat head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat vs Sardarapat?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Ararat vs Sardarapat?

On our numbers Ararat have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sardarapat 43%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Sardarapat?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Sardarapat?

Our predicted score is Ararat 1–2 Sardarapat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ararat vs Sardarapat?

Ararat vs Sardarapat (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.