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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ararat v Pyunik Yerevan: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Ararat

WLLDD
0–2
FT
Ararat 12%Draw 21%Pyunik Yerevan 67% Expected goals 0.85 – 2.18
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ararat welcome Pyunik Yerevan to Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 21 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ararat are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Pyunik Yerevan are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ararat, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over BKMA, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Pyunik Yerevan, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Van, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pyunik Yerevan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Ararat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat 0.8 xG, Pyunik Yerevan 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat 12%, draw 21%, Pyunik Yerevan 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat 0–2 Pyunik Yerevan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat12%fair 8.25 · @9.25
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.50
Pyunik Yerevan67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
3.03Expected goals
0.85Ararat xG
2.18Pyunik Yerevan xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Ararat 0.8 – 2.2 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓67%1.501.30
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓88%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.762.00 ▲
Draw no betPyunik Yerevan (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapPyunik Yerevan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scorePyunik Yerevan to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultPyunik Yerevan ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pyunik Yerevan / FT Pyunik Yerevan ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Ararat – last 6

WLLDDL
15 Aug@ BKMA2–1W
7 Augvs Sardarapat1–2L
3 Aug@ Alashkert0–3L
19 Jul@ Sardarapat1–1D
26 Mayvs BKMA1–1D
19 May@ FC Noah3–8L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pyunik Yerevan – last 6

WDDLWW
9 Augvs Van3–0W
2 Aug@ FC Urartu2–2D
30 Julvs Debreceni VSC0–0D
23 Jul@ Debreceni VSC0–1L
16 Julvs Marsaxlokk1–0W
9 Jul@ Marsaxlokk3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ararat and Pyunik Yerevan.

Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?

On our numbers Ararat have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pyunik Yerevan 67%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our predicted score is Ararat 0–2 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.