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Ararat v Ararat-Armenia: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Ararat

LLWLL
0–1
FT
Ararat 8%Draw 19%Ararat-Armenia 72% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.42
72%
Betarazi pick

Ararat-Armenia to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Premier League brings Ararat against Ararat-Armenia at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ararat are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Ararat-Armenia are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ararat, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Noah, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ararat-Armenia, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pyunik Yerevan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ararat-Armenia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ararat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat 0.8 xG, Ararat-Armenia 2.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat 8%, draw 19%, Ararat-Armenia 72%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ararat-Armenia to win (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat 0–2 Ararat-Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat8%fair 11.82 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.80
Ararat-Armenia72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
3.20Expected goals
0.78Ararat xG
2.42Ararat-Armenia xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–38%

From our goals model: Ararat 0.8 – 2.4 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArarat-Armenia to win ✓72%1.391.25
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓92%1.091.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.95
Draw no betArarat-Armenia (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapArarat-Armenia -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreArarat-Armenia to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultArarat-Armenia ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia ✗50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

Ararat – last 6

LLWLLD
30 Aug@ FC Noah0–4L
21 Augvs Pyunik Yerevan0–2L
15 Aug@ BKMA2–1W
7 Augvs Sardarapat1–2L
3 Aug@ Alashkert0–3L
19 Jul@ Sardarapat1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ararat-Armenia – last 6

LWDDWL
31 Aug@ Pyunik Yerevan1–2L
27 Augvs Universitatea Craiova1–0W
23 Augvs Sardarapat1–1D
20 Aug@ Universitatea Craiova1–1D
15 Augvs Van2–0W
11 Aug@ Celje0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ararat and Ararat-Armenia.

Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our pick is Ararat-Armenia to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

On our numbers Ararat have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ararat-Armenia 72%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our predicted score is Ararat 0–2 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.