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Ararat v Shirak: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Ararat

DWWLL
1–1
FT

Shirak

LLLWW
Ararat 37%Draw 23%Shirak 40% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.31
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultShirak to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Ararat vs Shirak: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Premier League brings Ararat against Shirak at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ararat are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Shirak are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ararat, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Urartu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Shirak, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Syunik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Shirak 0–2 Ararat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat 1.2 xG, Shirak 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat 37%, draw 23%, Shirak 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat 1–1 Shirak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat37%fair 2.73 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Shirak40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
2.56Expected goals
1.25Ararat xG
1.31Shirak xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ararat 1.2 – 1.3 Shirak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShirak to win ✗40%2.502.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.75
Draw no betShirak (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapArarat +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreShirak to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shirak / FT Shirak ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Ararat – last 6

DWWLLL
11 Oct@ FC Urartu2–2D
20 Sepvs Syunik1–0W
12 Sep@ Gandzasar2–0W
5 Sepvs Ararat-Armenia0–1L
30 Aug@ FC Noah0–4L
21 Augvs Pyunik Yerevan0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shirak – last 6

LLLWWL
12 Oct@ Syunik0–2L
20 Sepvs Ararat-Armenia1–3L
13 Sep@ Pyunik Yerevan0–2L
6 Sepvs Sardarapat2–0W
29 Aug@ Van4–0W
22 Augvs FC Urartu0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Shirak v Ararat0–2
Ararat vs Shirak head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat vs Shirak?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ararat vs Shirak?

On our numbers Ararat have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shirak 40%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Shirak?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Shirak?

Our predicted score is Ararat 1–1 Shirak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ararat vs Shirak?

Ararat vs Shirak (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.