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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ararat-Armenia v FC Noah: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Football Academy Stadium
2–1
FT

FC Noah

DWDWW
Ararat-Armenia 16%Draw 23%FC Noah 61% Expected goals 1.00 – 2.10
84%
Betarazi pick

FC Noah or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Noah to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Noah to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ararat-Armenia welcome FC Noah to Football Academy Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Monday 26 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ararat-Armenia are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 12 matches; FC Noah are 1st (leading the league) with 34.

Current form

Ararat-Armenia, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AZ Alkmaar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

FC Noah, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pyunik Yerevan, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours FC Noah, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Ararat-Armenia.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Ararat-Armenia 0–4 FC Noah. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ararat-Armenia 0 wins, FC Noah 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat-Armenia 1.0 xG, FC Noah 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat-Armenia 16%, draw 23%, FC Noah 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Noah or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: FC Noah to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Noah or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat-Armenia 0–2 FC Noah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat-Armenia16%fair 6.38 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
FC Noah61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
3.10Expected goals
1.00Ararat-Armenia xG
2.10FC Noah xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.0 – 2.1 FC Noah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Noah to win ✗61%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✗84%1.191.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betFC Noah (draw no bet) ✗80%1.26–
Asian handicapFC Noah -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreFC Noah to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultFC Noah ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Noah / FT FC Noah ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Ararat-Armenia – last 6

LWLDWL
22 Octvs AZ Alkmaar0–4L
18 Oct@ BKMA1–0W
15 Oct@ Jagiellonia1–3L
10 Octvs Alashkert1–1D
20 Sep@ Shirak3–1W
16 Sepvs Sparta Praha1–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Noah – last 6

DWDWWW
18 Octvs Pyunik Yerevan1–1D
11 Oct@ Sardarapat5–1W
2 Octvs Dinamo Batumi2–2D
18 Sepvs Van2–0W
12 Sep@ FC Urartu3–0W
4 Sepvs Gandzasar3–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Ararat-Armenia v FC Noah0–4
29 Apr 2026FC Noah v Ararat-Armenia0–0
16 Apr 2026Ararat-Armenia v FC Noah0–1
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?

Our pick is FC Noah or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?

On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Noah 61%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?

Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–2 FC Noah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?

Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.