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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sardarapat v Ararat: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Armenia · Armavir stadium
1–0
FT

Ararat

LLLDD
Sardarapat 40%Draw 21%Ararat 38% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.38
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: Ararat to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSardarapat to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Sardarapat vs Ararat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Sardarapat v Ararat in the Premier League, played at Armavir stadium. In the table, Sardarapat are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Ararat are 9th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Sardarapat, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Van, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ararat, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alashkert, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Ararat 1–2 Sardarapat. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sardarapat 1 win, Ararat 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sardarapat 1.4 xG, Ararat 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sardarapat 40%, draw 21%, Ararat 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Ararat to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sardarapat 1–1 Ararat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sardarapat40%fair 2.47 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Ararat38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
2.80Expected goals
1.43Sardarapat xG
1.38Ararat xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Sardarapat 1.4 – 1.4 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSardarapat to win ✓40%2.472.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.65
Draw no betSardarapat (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapArarat +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreSardarapat to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sardarapat / FT Sardarapat ✓23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Sardarapat – last 6

DDWLDD
30 Octvs Van2–2D
22 Octvs FC Urartu0–0D
16 Oct@ Gandzasar2–1W
11 Octvs FC Noah1–5L
19 Sep@ BKMA1–1D
13 Sepvs Alashkert1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ararat – last 6

LLLDDW
31 Octvs Alashkert0–2L
27 Oct@ Pyunik Yerevan2–6L
23 Oct@ Van1–2L
17 Octvs Shirak1–1D
11 Oct@ FC Urartu2–2D
20 Sepvs Syunik1–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Ararat v Sardarapat1–2
19 Jul 2026Sardarapat v Ararat1–1
Sardarapat vs Ararat head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Noah131111+2234
2Pyunik Yerevan13940+2231
3Ararat-Armenia12921+1429
4Alashkert13742+1625
5Sardarapat13553020
6FC Urartu12444+416
7Shirak13427-214
8Van13328-2011
9Ararat13328-1111
10Syunik13328-1411
11BKMA13328-911
12Gandzasar131012-223

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sardarapat vs Ararat?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Sardarapat vs Ararat?

On our numbers Sardarapat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ararat 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sardarapat vs Ararat?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sardarapat vs Ararat?

Our predicted score is Sardarapat 1–1 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sardarapat vs Ararat?

Sardarapat vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Armavir stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.