Spain welcome Belgium to SoFi Stadium for a World Cup fixture on Friday 10 July (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Spain, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portugal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Belgium, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over USA, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Belgium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spain 1.7 xG, Belgium 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 57%, draw 24%, Belgium 19%.
Lower-risk option: Spain or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 1–1 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain57%fair 1.77 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.85
Belgium19%fair 5.21 · @5.20
2.72Expected goals
1.74Spain xG
0.98Belgium xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Spain 1.7 – 1.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Belgium +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Spain to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Spain – last 6
WWWWDW
6 Jul
@ Portugal
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Austria
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
15 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
9 Jun
@ Peru
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 6
WDWDDW
7 Jul
@ USA
4–1
W
1 Jul
vs Senegal
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Belgium.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spain vs Belgium?
On our numbers Spain have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belgium 19%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Belgium?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is Spain 1–1 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Belgium?
Spain vs Belgium (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
