Gramadense 33%Draw 28%Brasil DE Pelotas 39%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.17
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Gramadense to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Gramadense v Brasil DE Pelotas in the Copa Gaúcha.
Current form
Gramadense, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bagé, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brasil DE Pelotas, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Santa Cruz RS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gramadense 1.1 xG, Brasil DE Pelotas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gramadense 33%, draw 28%, Brasil DE Pelotas 39%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Gramadense to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gramadense 1–1 Brasil DE Pelotas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gramadense33%fair 3.06 · @3.25
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.95
Brasil DE Pelotas39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
2.27Expected goals
1.10Gramadense xG
1.17Brasil DE Pelotas xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gramadense 1.1 – 1.2 Brasil DE Pelotas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✗
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Brasil DE Pelotas (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Gramadense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Brasil DE Pelotas to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
Gramadense – last 6
LWDWWD
5 Jul
vs Bagé
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Bagé
1–0
W
17 Jun
@ Santa Cruz RS
2–2
D
11 Jun
vs Monsoon
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Brasil Farroupilha
1–0
W
30 May
vs Brasil Farroupilha
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 6
WDDWDD
4 Jul
vs Santa Cruz RS
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Santa Cruz RS
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Guarany de Bagé
3–3
D
10 Jun
vs Farroupilha
4–0
W
7 Jun
@ Azuriz
1–1
D
4 Jun
@ Bagé
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gramadense and Brasil DE Pelotas.
What is the prediction for Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
On our numbers Gramadense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brasil DE Pelotas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our predicted score is Gramadense 1–1 Brasil DE Pelotas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Gramadense vs Brasil DE Pelotas (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
