Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Central Espanol welcome Liverpool Montevideo to Parque Palermo for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 2 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Central Espanol, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Largo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Defensor Sporting, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 3–3 Central Espanol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 0.8 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 25%, draw 27%, Liverpool Montevideo 48%.
Lower-risk option: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (75%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Liverpool Montevideo to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Liverpool Montevideo or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Espanol25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo48%fair 2.06 · @2.25
2.26Expected goals
0.79Central Espanol xG
1.47Liverpool Montevideo xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.8 – 1.5 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-31%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.61
1.53
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
48%
2.06
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Central Espanol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Liverpool Montevideo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
