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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCSA v Inhulets: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine

UCSA

LDWDD
1–2
FT
UCSA 59%Draw 22%Inhulets 19% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.13
81%
Betarazi pick

UCSA or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: UCSA to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUCSA to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceUCSA or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

UCSA vs Inhulets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Persha Liga brings UCSA against Inhulets. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, UCSA are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Inhulets are 10th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

UCSA, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Inhulets, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Veres Rivne, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours UCSA, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Inhulets.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Inhulets 0–2 UCSA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCSA 2.1 xG, Inhulets 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCSA 59%, draw 22%, Inhulets 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: UCSA or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: UCSA to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was UCSA or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCSA 2–1 Inhulets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCSA59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
Inhulets19%fair 5.32 · @3.60
3.25Expected goals
2.12UCSA xG
1.13Inhulets xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: UCSA 2.1 – 1.1 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCSA to win ✗59%1.691.85 ▲
Double chanceUCSA or draw ✗81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.65
Draw no betUCSA (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapInhulets +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreUCSA to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultUCSA ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCSA / FT UCSA ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

UCSA – last 6

LDWDDD
22 Augvs Kolos Kovalivka0–3L
15 Aug@ SK Poltava0–0D
7 Augvs Nyva Ternopil1–0W
31 Julvs Oleksandria4–4D
25 Jul@ Polissya II2–2D
10 Jul@ Obolon'-Brovar0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Inhulets – last 6

LLLWDL
22 Augvs Veres Rivne1–4L
16 Augvs Nyva Ternopil1–2L
8 Aug@ Oleksandria0–3L
3 Augvs Polissya II2–1W
26 Jul@ Probiy Horodenka2–2D
10 Jul@ Chornomorets0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Inhulets v UCSA0–2
UCSA vs Inhulets head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCSA vs Inhulets?

Our pick is UCSA or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win UCSA vs Inhulets?

On our numbers UCSA have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Inhulets 19%.

How many goals will there be in UCSA vs Inhulets?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCSA vs Inhulets?

Our predicted score is UCSA 2–1 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is UCSA vs Inhulets?

UCSA vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.