Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSK Poltava to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Lokomotiv Kyiv v SK Poltava in the Persha Liga. In the table, Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; SK Poltava are 6th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
SK Poltava, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inhulets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours SK Poltava, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.6 xG, SK Poltava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Kyiv 20%, draw 23%, SK Poltava 57%.
Lower-risk option: SK Poltava or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SK Poltava or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
SK Poltava57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
2.02Expected goals
0.65Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.37SK Poltava xG
39%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–013%
0–213%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.6 – 1.4 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Poltava to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SK Poltava or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
SK Poltava (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv Kyiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
SK Poltava to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
LLLDLD
4 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Yarud Mariupol'
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Probiy Horodenka
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SK Poltava – last 6
DWDDWD
4 Sep
vs Inhulets
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Mayak Sarny
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs UCSA
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Yarud Mariupol'
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Our pick is SK Poltava or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SK Poltava 57%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.