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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Kyiv v SK Poltava: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine
2–1
FT
Lokomotiv Kyiv 20%Draw 23%SK Poltava 57% Expected goals 0.65 – 1.37
80%
Betarazi pick

SK Poltava or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSK Poltava to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.49

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Lokomotiv Kyiv v SK Poltava in the Persha Liga. In the table, Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; SK Poltava are 6th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

SK Poltava, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inhulets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours SK Poltava, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Lokomotiv Kyiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.6 xG, SK Poltava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Kyiv 20%, draw 23%, SK Poltava 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: SK Poltava or draw (80%) at 1.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was SK Poltava or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Kyiv20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
SK Poltava57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
2.02Expected goals
0.65Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.37SK Poltava xG
39%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–013%
0–213%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.6 – 1.4 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSK Poltava to win ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✗80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.63–
Draw no betSK Poltava (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Kyiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreSK Poltava to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.49–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6

LLLDLD
4 Sep@ Kolos Kovalivka II0–1L
28 Augvs Yarud Mariupol'1–3L
21 Augvs Probiy Horodenka1–3L
14 Aug@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0D
8 Augvs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1L
2 Aug@ Prykarpattia2–2D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

SK Poltava – last 6

DWDDWD
4 Sepvs Inhulets0–0D
28 Aug@ Kolos Kovalivka II1–0W
22 Aug@ Mayak Sarny0–0D
15 Augvs UCSA0–0D
9 Aug@ Yarud Mariupol'3–0W
1 Augvs Nyva Ternopil1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and SK Poltava.

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

More Persha Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?

Our pick is SK Poltava or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SK Poltava 57%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 0–1 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava?

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SK Poltava (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.