SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SK Poltava welcome Metal Kharkiv to Lokomotyv Stadium for a Persha Liga fixture on Sunday 20 September (09:00 WAT). In the table, SK Poltava are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Metal Kharkiv are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SK Poltava, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Kyiv, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Metal Kharkiv, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inhulets, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SK Poltava 1.2 xG, Metal Kharkiv 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SK Poltava 46%, draw 25%, Metal Kharkiv 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SK Poltava 1–1 Metal Kharkiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SK Poltava46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.80
Metal Kharkiv29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
2.07Expected goals
1.20SK Poltava xG
0.87Metal Kharkiv xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: SK Poltava 1.2 – 0.9 Metal Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Poltava to win✓
46%
2.17
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
SK Poltava (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Metal Kharkiv +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
SK Poltava to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
SK Poltava – last 6
LDWDDW
12 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Inhulets
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Mayak Sarny
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs UCSA
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Yarud Mariupol'
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
LWWDWL
12 Sep
@ Inhulets
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs UCSA
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Penuel
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Oleksandria
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
On our numbers SK Poltava have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metal Kharkiv 29%.
How many goals will there be in SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is SK Poltava 1–1 Metal Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
