Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultOleksandria to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceOleksandria or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol': Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Oleksandria v Yarud Mariupol' in the Persha Liga. In the table, Oleksandria are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 15 matches; Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oleksandria, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Yarud Mariupol', last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Polissya II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oleksandria 1.8 xG, Yarud Mariupol' 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oleksandria 63%, draw 25%, Yarud Mariupol' 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Oleksandria to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oleksandria 1–0 Yarud Mariupol'. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oleksandria63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Yarud Mariupol'11%fair 8.77 · @5.00
2.47Expected goals
1.81Oleksandria xG
0.66Yarud Mariupol' xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Oleksandria 1.8 – 0.7 Yarud Mariupol' expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oleksandria to win✗
63%
1.58
1.60
Double chance
Oleksandria or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Oleksandria (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Oleksandria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Oleksandria to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Oleksandria ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.52
–
Recent results
Oleksandria – last 6
LWDDWW
20 Sep
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Bratslav Vinnytsia
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Yarud Mariupol' – last 6
WWLDWW
20 Sep
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–1
W
20 Aug
@ Dinaz Vyshhorod
6–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oleksandria and Yarud Mariupol'.
What is the prediction for Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our pick is Oleksandria to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
On our numbers Oleksandria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yarud Mariupol' 11%.
How many goals will there be in Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our predicted score is Oleksandria 1–0 Yarud Mariupol', the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
