Value bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @ 2.97 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultProbiy Horodenka to win ✗40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Probiy Horodenka welcome Lokomotiv Kyiv for a Persha Liga fixture on Saturday 26 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Probiy Horodenka are 14th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Probiy Horodenka, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kulykiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Kyiv, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Probiy Horodenka.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Aug 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–3 Probiy Horodenka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Probiy Horodenka 1.4 xG, Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Probiy Horodenka 40%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @2.97 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Probiy Horodenka 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Probiy Horodenka40%fair 2.51 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Lokomotiv Kyiv38%fair 2.65 · @2.97
2.69Expected goals
1.37Probiy Horodenka xG
1.32Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Probiy Horodenka 1.4 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
On our numbers Probiy Horodenka have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 38%.
How many goals will there be in Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Probiy Horodenka 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotiv Kyiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
