Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultYarud Mariupol' to win ✗56% · @1.83
Double chanceYarud Mariupol' or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Monday 5 October: Yarud Mariupol' v Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga, played at Kolos Stadium. In the table, Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 15 matches; Nyva Ternopil are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Yarud Mariupol', last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oleksandria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nyva Ternopil, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ahrobiznes Volochysk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Yarud Mariupol', collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Nyva Ternopil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yarud Mariupol' 1.5 xG, Nyva Ternopil 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yarud Mariupol' 56%, draw 23%, Nyva Ternopil 21%.
Lower-risk option: Yarud Mariupol' or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yarud Mariupol' or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Nyva Ternopil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yarud Mariupol'56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.20
Nyva Ternopil21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
2.28Expected goals
1.51Yarud Mariupol' xG
0.77Nyva Ternopil xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Yarud Mariupol' 1.5 – 0.8 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarud Mariupol' to win✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Double chance
Yarud Mariupol' or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Yarud Mariupol' (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Nyva Ternopil +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Yarud Mariupol' to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarud Mariupol' / FT Yarud Mariupol'✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Yarud Mariupol' – last 6
DWWLDW
27 Sep
@ Oleksandria
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nyva Ternopil – last 6
DWLLDL
27 Sep
vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Prykarpattia
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chernihiv
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Bukovyna
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yarud Mariupol' and Nyva Ternopil.
What is the prediction for Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our pick is Yarud Mariupol' or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
On our numbers Yarud Mariupol' have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nyva Ternopil 21%.
How many goals will there be in Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our predicted score is Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Nyva Ternopil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil?
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
