Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultYarud Mariupol' to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceYarud Mariupol' or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.49
UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol': Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Persha Liga brings UCSA against Yarud Mariupol'. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, UCSA are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCSA, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Yarud Mariupol', last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nyva Ternopil, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yarud Mariupol', collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for UCSA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCSA 0.9 xG, Yarud Mariupol' 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCSA 18%, draw 21%, Yarud Mariupol' 61%.
Lower-risk option: Yarud Mariupol' or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yarud Mariupol' to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCSA 0–1 Yarud Mariupol'. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCSA18%fair 5.60 · @4.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Yarud Mariupol'61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
2.70Expected goals
0.87UCSA xG
1.83Yarud Mariupol' xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: UCSA 0.9 – 1.8 Yarud Mariupol' expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarud Mariupol' to win✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Yarud Mariupol' or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Yarud Mariupol' (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Yarud Mariupol' -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Yarud Mariupol' to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Yarud Mariupol' ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarud Mariupol' / FT Yarud Mariupol'✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
14.49
–
Recent results
UCSA – last 6
LDLWLL
4 Oct
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Chernihiv
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Inhulets
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yarud Mariupol' – last 6
DDWWLD
5 Oct
vs Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Oleksandria
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCSA and Yarud Mariupol'.
What is the prediction for UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our pick is Yarud Mariupol' to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
On our numbers UCSA have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yarud Mariupol' 61%.
How many goals will there be in UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our predicted score is UCSA 0–1 Yarud Mariupol', the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol'?
UCSA vs Yarud Mariupol' (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
