Value bet: Nyva Ternopil to win @ 3.34 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Kyiv to win ✗45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Lokomotiv Kyiv v Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga. In the table, Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Nyva Ternopil are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Oleksandria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nyva Ternopil, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kolos Kovalivka II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Kyiv, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nyva Ternopil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.3 xG, Nyva Ternopil 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Kyiv 45%, draw 23%, Nyva Ternopil 33%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Nyva Ternopil to win @3.34 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Nyva Ternopil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv45%fair 2.24 · @2.06
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.17
Nyva Ternopil33%fair 3.07 · @3.34
2.35Expected goals
1.30Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.05Nyva Ternopil xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.3 – 1.1 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win✗
45%
2.24
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Kyiv (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Nyva Ternopil +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Lokomotiv Kyiv to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Kyiv / FT Lokomotiv Kyiv✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.10
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
WDWWWL
11 Oct
@ Oleksandria
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Polissya II
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Kulykiv
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SK Poltava
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nyva Ternopil – last 6
WDDWLL
11 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka II
3–1
W
5 Oct
@ Yarud Mariupol'
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Prykarpattia
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chernihiv
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and Nyva Ternopil.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nyva Ternopil 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Nyva Ternopil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
