Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol': Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metal Kharkiv welcome Yarud Mariupol' to OSC Metalist for a Persha Liga fixture on Friday 23 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Metal Kharkiv are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Metal Kharkiv, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Yarud Mariupol', last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Inhulets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yarud Mariupol', collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Metal Kharkiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metal Kharkiv 1.2 xG, Yarud Mariupol' 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metal Kharkiv 36%, draw 23%, Yarud Mariupol' 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metal Kharkiv 1–1 Yarud Mariupol'. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metal Kharkiv36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Yarud Mariupol'41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
2.42Expected goals
1.16Metal Kharkiv xG
1.26Yarud Mariupol' xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Metal Kharkiv 1.2 – 1.3 Yarud Mariupol' expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yarud Mariupol' to win✓
41%
2.46
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Yarud Mariupol' (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Metal Kharkiv +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Yarud Mariupol' to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yarud Mariupol' / FT Yarud Mariupol'✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
LDDWLL
17 Oct
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Chernihiv
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ SK Poltava
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Inhulets
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yarud Mariupol' – last 6
WWDDWW
17 Oct
vs Inhulets
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ UCSA
2–1
W
5 Oct
vs Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Oleksandria
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Polissya II
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metal Kharkiv and Yarud Mariupol'.
What is the prediction for Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
On our numbers Metal Kharkiv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yarud Mariupol' 41%.
How many goals will there be in Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our predicted score is Metal Kharkiv 1–1 Yarud Mariupol', the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' (Persha Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at OSC Metalist.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
