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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oleksandria v Probiy Horodenka: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine
2–0
FT
Oleksandria 68%Draw 20%Probiy Horodenka 13% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.80
68%
Betarazi pick

Oleksandria to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultOleksandria to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceOleksandria or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Persha Liga brings Oleksandria against Probiy Horodenka. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Oleksandria are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 15 matches; Probiy Horodenka are 14th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Oleksandria, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kulykiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Probiy Horodenka, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Polissya II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Probiy Horodenka 1–1 Oleksandria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oleksandria 2.1 xG, Probiy Horodenka 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oleksandria 68%, draw 20%, Probiy Horodenka 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oleksandria to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oleksandria 2–0 Probiy Horodenka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oleksandria68%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Probiy Horodenka13%fair 7.85 · @8.00
2.92Expected goals
2.12Oleksandria xG
0.80Probiy Horodenka xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Oleksandria 2.1 – 0.8 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOleksandria to win ✓68%1.481.33
Double chanceOleksandria or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.91
Draw no betOleksandria (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapOleksandria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreOleksandria to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultOleksandria ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Oleksandria – last 6

DLWDLW
18 Oct@ Kulykiv1–1D
11 Octvs Lokomotiv Kyiv1–3L
4 Oct@ Kolos Kovalivka II2–0W
27 Sepvs Yarud Mariupol'1–1D
20 Sep@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1L
14 Sepvs Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Probiy Horodenka – last 6

DWWLLL
18 Octvs Polissya II1–1D
10 Octvs SK Poltava3–2W
4 Oct@ Kulykiv2–1W
26 Sepvs Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2L
19 Sep@ Kolos Kovalivka II2–4L
13 Sepvs Yarud Mariupol'0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Sep 2026Probiy Horodenka v Oleksandria1–1
Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka?

Our pick is Oleksandria to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka?

On our numbers Oleksandria have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Probiy Horodenka 13%.

How many goals will there be in Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka?

Our predicted score is Oleksandria 2–0 Probiy Horodenka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka?

Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.