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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Probiy Horodenka v Nyva Ternopil: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine
2–2
FT
Probiy Horodenka 32%Draw 22%Nyva Ternopil 46% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.50
78%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: Nyva Ternopil to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNyva Ternopil to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 26.24

Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Probiy Horodenka welcome Nyva Ternopil for a Persha Liga fixture on Sunday 1 November (12:30 WAT). In the table, Probiy Horodenka are 14th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; Nyva Ternopil are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Probiy Horodenka, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oleksandria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Nyva Ternopil, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kulykiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nyva Ternopil, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Probiy Horodenka.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Nyva Ternopil 0–0 Probiy Horodenka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Probiy Horodenka 1.2 xG, Nyva Ternopil 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Probiy Horodenka 32%, draw 22%, Nyva Ternopil 46%.
  • Price worth noting: Nyva Ternopil to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (78%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Probiy Horodenka 0–1 Nyva Ternopil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Probiy Horodenka32%fair 3.12 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Nyva Ternopil46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
2.69Expected goals
1.19Probiy Horodenka xG
1.50Nyva Ternopil xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Probiy Horodenka 1.2 – 1.5 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNyva Ternopil to win ✗46%2.162.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betNyva Ternopil (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapProbiy Horodenka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreNyva Ternopil to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nyva Ternopil / FT Nyva Ternopil ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4%26.24–

Recent results

Probiy Horodenka – last 6

LDWWLL
24 Oct@ Oleksandria0–2L
18 Octvs Polissya II1–1D
10 Octvs SK Poltava3–2W
4 Oct@ Kulykiv2–1W
26 Sepvs Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2L
19 Sep@ Kolos Kovalivka II2–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nyva Ternopil – last 6

WDWDDW
25 Octvs Kulykiv3–1W
18 Oct@ Lokomotiv Kyiv0–0D
11 Octvs Kolos Kovalivka II3–1W
5 Oct@ Yarud Mariupol'0–0D
27 Sepvs Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0D
21 Sep@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Nyva Ternopil v Probiy Horodenka0–0
Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?

On our numbers Probiy Horodenka have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nyva Ternopil 46%.

How many goals will there be in Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?

Our predicted score is Probiy Horodenka 0–1 Nyva Ternopil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil?

Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.