Value bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMetal Kharkiv to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Persha Liga brings Metal Kharkiv against Lokomotiv Kyiv at OSC Metalist. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Metal Kharkiv are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metal Kharkiv, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Kolos Kovalivka II, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Inhulets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Kyiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Metal Kharkiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metal Kharkiv 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metal Kharkiv 40%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metal Kharkiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metal Kharkiv40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Lokomotiv Kyiv37%fair 2.69 · @2.95
2.49Expected goals
1.28Metal Kharkiv xG
1.22Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Metal Kharkiv 1.3 – 1.2 Lokomotiv Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metal Kharkiv to win✓
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Draw no bet
Metal Kharkiv (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv Kyiv +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Metal Kharkiv to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metal Kharkiv / FT Metal Kharkiv✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
WWLLDD
2 Nov
@ Kolos Kovalivka II
4–0
W
28 Oct
@ LNZ Cherkasy
1–0
W
23 Oct
vs Yarud Mariupol'
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
WLDWDW
31 Oct
vs Inhulets
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ UCSA
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Oleksandria
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Polissya II
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv.
What is the prediction for Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
On our numbers Metal Kharkiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
How many goals will there be in Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Metal Kharkiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at OSC Metalist.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
