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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oleksandria v SK Poltava: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine
1–0
FT
Oleksandria 63%Draw 20%SK Poltava 17% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.77
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.31Odds
1

Value bet: Oleksandria to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOleksandria to win ✓63% · @1.86
Double chanceOleksandria or draw ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Oleksandria vs SK Poltava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SK Poltava travel to face Oleksandria on Sunday 8 November in the Persha Liga – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Oleksandria are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 15 matches; SK Poltava are 6th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Oleksandria, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Polissya II, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

SK Poltava, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Viktoriya Mykolaivka, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours SK Poltava, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Oleksandria.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended Oleksandria 5–2 SK Poltava. The last 2 head-to-heads: Oleksandria 1 win, SK Poltava 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 6.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oleksandria 1.8 xG, SK Poltava 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oleksandria 63%, draw 20%, SK Poltava 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Oleksandria or draw (83%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.69.
  • Price worth noting: Oleksandria to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oleksandria 1–0 SK Poltava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oleksandria63%fair 1.59 · @1.86
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
SK Poltava17%fair 5.83 · @3.75
2.55Expected goals
1.78Oleksandria xG
0.77SK Poltava xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Oleksandria 1.8 – 0.8 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOleksandria to win ✓63%1.591.86 ▲
Double chanceOleksandria or draw ✓83%1.211.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.69
Draw no betOleksandria (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapOleksandria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.08
First team to scoreOleksandria to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultOleksandria ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Oleksandria – last 6

DLWDLW
2 Nov@ Polissya II0–0D
29 Oct@ Karpaty1–2L
24 Octvs Probiy Horodenka2–0W
18 Oct@ Kulykiv1–1D
11 Octvs Lokomotiv Kyiv1–3L
4 Oct@ Kolos Kovalivka II2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

SK Poltava – last 6

WWWLWL
31 Oct@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0W
24 Oct@ Polissya II2–1W
17 Octvs Prykarpattia4–0W
10 Oct@ Probiy Horodenka2–3L
2 Octvs Chernihiv3–2W
26 Sep@ Kulykiv1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jul 2026Oleksandria v SK Poltava5–2
3 Apr 2026SK Poltava v Oleksandria3–3
Oleksandria vs SK Poltava head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

More Persha Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?

On our numbers Oleksandria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SK Poltava 17%.

How many goals will there be in Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?

Our predicted score is Oleksandria 1–0 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?

Oleksandria vs SK Poltava (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.