Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.85
Santos vs Comerciantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Segunda División brings Santos against Comerciantes at Estadio Municipal de Nasca. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Santos are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Santos, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ayacucho FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Comerciantes, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alianza Universidad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.2 xG, Comerciantes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 40%, draw 27%, Comerciantes 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Comerciantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Comerciantes33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
2.27Expected goals
1.23Santos xG
1.04Comerciantes xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santos 1.2 – 1.0 Comerciantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✓
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Santos to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.85
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
LWLWLW
26 Jul
@ Ayacucho FC
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs Deportivo Binacional
3–1
W
28 Jun
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–3
L
21 Jun
vs Ayacucho FC
2–1
W
29 May
vs Minas
0–1
L
4 May
@ Alianza Universidad
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comerciantes – last 6
WDLDWD
24 Jul
vs Alianza Universidad
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sport Huancayo 2
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Estudiantil CNI
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Union Comercio
1–0
W
13 Jun
vs Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Comerciantes.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Comerciantes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Santos vs Comerciantes?
On our numbers Santos have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Comerciantes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Comerciantes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Comerciantes?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Comerciantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Comerciantes?
Santos vs Comerciantes (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Nasca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Academia Cantolao1
Cesar Vallejo1