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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Birkirkara v Hamrun Spartans: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
1–0
FT
Birkirkara 23%Draw 22%Hamrun Spartans 54% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.86
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Birkirkara v Hamrun Spartans in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Birkirkara are 7th on 16 points after 12 matches; Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Birkirkara, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gzira United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Hamrun Spartans, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mosta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Birkirkara, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Hamrun Spartans.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Hamrun Spartans 3–0 Birkirkara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birkirkara 1.1 xG, Hamrun Spartans 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Birkirkara 23%, draw 22%, Hamrun Spartans 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birkirkara 1–1 Hamrun Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birkirkara23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.00
Hamrun Spartans54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.14Birkirkara xG
1.86Hamrun Spartans xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.1 – 1.9 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamrun Spartans to win ✗54%1.841.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.692.00 ▲
Draw no betHamrun Spartans (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapBirkirkara +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreHamrun Spartans to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultHamrun Spartans ahead at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Birkirkara – last 6

WDDLLW
17 Augvs Gzira United4–0W
30 Aprvs Mosta1–1D
24 Apr@ Tarxien Rainbows0–0D
14 Apr@ Sliema Wanderers0–1L
8 Mar@ Hamrun Spartans0–3L
4 Marvs Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hamrun Spartans – last 6

LLDLLW
17 Augvs Mosta0–2L
16 Julvs NSI Runavik1–2L
9 Jul@ NSI Runavik1–1D
15 Aprvs Gzira United0–1L
15 Mar@ Mosta1–2L
8 Marvs Birkirkara3–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Hamrun Spartans v Birkirkara3–0
Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

On our numbers Birkirkara have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hamrun Spartans 54%.

How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–1 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.