Value bet: Floriana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFloriana to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Premier League brings Floriana against Sliema Wanderers at Centenary Stadium. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Floriana are 6th on 16 points after 12 matches; Sliema Wanderers are 3rd with 21.
Current form
Floriana, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Birzebbuga, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sliema Wanderers, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hibernians, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Floriana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Sliema Wanderers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Floriana 1.7 xG, Sliema Wanderers 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Floriana 62%, draw 25%, Sliema Wanderers 13%.
Lower-risk option: Floriana or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Floriana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floriana 1–0 Sliema Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Floriana62%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Sliema Wanderers13%fair 7.57 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.74Floriana xG
0.69Sliema Wanderers xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Floriana 1.7 – 0.7 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✓
62%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Floriana or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Draw no bet
Floriana (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Floriana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Floriana to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Floriana ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Floriana – last 6
WDDLWW
14 Aug
@ Birzebbuga
3–0
W
28 Jul
@ Drita
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Drita
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–5
L
7 Jul
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sliema Wanderers – last 6
LLDDWD
16 Aug
vs Hibernians
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Mosta
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hibernians
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Sliema Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
On our numbers Floriana have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sliema Wanderers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Floriana 1–0 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?
Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
