Value bet: Hamrun Spartans to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Hamrun Spartans v Floriana in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Floriana are 6th with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Birkirkara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Floriana, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sliema Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Floriana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Hamrun Spartans.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Floriana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.3 xG, Floriana 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 52%, draw 24%, Floriana 24%.
Lower-risk option: Hamrun Spartans or draw (76%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Hamrun Spartans to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hamrun Spartans or draw (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Floriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans52%fair 1.93 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Floriana24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.27Hamrun Spartans xG
0.73Floriana xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.3 – 0.7 Floriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Floriana 24%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Floriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?
Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
