Value bet: Sliema Wanderers to win @ 4.10 – our chance 51% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +109%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✓51% · @4.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sliema Wanderers travel to face Birzebbuga on Sunday 30 August in the Premier League, with Centenary Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Birzebbuga are 11th on 7 points after 12 matches; Sliema Wanderers are 3rd with 21. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Birzebbuga, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zabbar St. Patrick, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sliema Wanderers, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Floriana, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Birzebbuga, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sliema Wanderers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birzebbuga 0.9 xG, Sliema Wanderers 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birzebbuga 29%, draw 20%, Sliema Wanderers 51%.
Price worth noting: Sliema Wanderers to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birzebbuga 0–1 Sliema Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birzebbuga29%fair 3.49 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Sliema Wanderers51%fair 1.96 · @4.10
2.25Expected goals
0.90Birzebbuga xG
1.35Sliema Wanderers xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Birzebbuga 0.9 – 1.3 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sliema Wanderers to win✓
51%
1.96
4.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Sliema Wanderers (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Birzebbuga +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sliema Wanderers to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers✓
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Recent results
Birzebbuga – last 6
LLWWWD
22 Aug
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Floriana
0–3
L
3 May
@ Melita
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sirens
3–2
W
4 Apr
@ St. Andrews
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Swieqi United
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sliema Wanderers – last 6
LLLDDW
21 Aug
@ Floriana
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Hibernians
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Mosta
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birzebbuga and Sliema Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers?
On our numbers Birzebbuga have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sliema Wanderers 51%.
How many goals will there be in Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Birzebbuga 0–1 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers?
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
