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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zabbar St. Patrick v Hamrun Spartans: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Centenary Stadium
Zabbar St. Patrick 27%Draw 22%Hamrun Spartans 51% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.48
51%
Betarazi pick

Hamrun Spartans to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 4.20 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
4.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✓51% · @4.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Premier League brings Zabbar St. Patrick against Hamrun Spartans at Centenary Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th on 15 points after 12 matches; Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zabbar St. Patrick, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hibernians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hamrun Spartans, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Floriana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Zabbar St. Patrick, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Hamrun Spartans.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Hamrun Spartans 0–0 Zabbar St. Patrick.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zabbar St. Patrick 1.0 xG, Hamrun Spartans 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zabbar St. Patrick 27%, draw 22%, Hamrun Spartans 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hamrun Spartans to win (51%, odds 4.20 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Hamrun Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zabbar St. Patrick27%fair 3.64 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Hamrun Spartans51%fair 1.97 · @4.20
2.48Expected goals
0.99Zabbar St. Patrick xG
1.48Hamrun Spartans xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Zabbar St. Patrick 1.0 – 1.5 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamrun Spartans to win ✓51%1.974.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betHamrun Spartans (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapZabbar St. Patrick +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreHamrun Spartans to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.01–

Recent results

Zabbar St. Patrick – last 6

DWLDDW
28 Aug@ Hibernians1–1D
22 Augvs Birzebbuga1–0W
16 Aug@ Valletta FC2–4L
10 Mayvs Tarxien Rainbows0–0D
5 Mayvs Tarxien Rainbows1–1D
30 Aprvs Hibernians3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hamrun Spartans – last 6

DLLLDL
29 Augvs Floriana1–1D
22 Aug@ Birkirkara0–1L
17 Augvs Mosta0–2L
16 Julvs NSI Runavik1–2L
9 Jul@ NSI Runavik1–1D
15 Aprvs Gzira United0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Hamrun Spartans v Zabbar St. Patrick0–0
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 4.20.

Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

On our numbers Zabbar St. Patrick have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hamrun Spartans 51%.

How many goals will there be in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our predicted score is Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.