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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Birzebbuga v Hamrun Spartans: numbers & prediction

0–2
FT
Birzebbuga 8%Draw 21%Hamrun Spartans 71% Expected goals 0.44 – 1.81
71%
Betarazi pick

Hamrun Spartans to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.24

Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hamrun Spartans travel to face Birzebbuga on Friday 11 September in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Birzebbuga are 11th on 7 points after 12 matches; Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18.

Current form

Birzebbuga, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Balzan FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Hamrun Spartans, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zabbar St. Patrick, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birzebbuga 0.4 xG, Hamrun Spartans 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Birzebbuga 8%, draw 21%, Hamrun Spartans 71%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hamrun Spartans to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birzebbuga 0–1 Hamrun Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birzebbuga8%fair 11.95 · @8.00
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
Hamrun Spartans71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
2.25Expected goals
0.44Birzebbuga xG
1.81Hamrun Spartans xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–217%
0–011%
0–310%
1–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Birzebbuga 0.4 – 1.8 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamrun Spartans to win ✓71%1.411.36
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓92%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.73
Draw no betHamrun Spartans (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapHamrun Spartans -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreHamrun Spartans to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultHamrun Spartans ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.24–

Recent results

Birzebbuga – last 6

LLLLWW
5 Sep@ Balzan FC0–3L
30 Augvs Sliema Wanderers1–2L
22 Aug@ Zabbar St. Patrick0–1L
14 Augvs Floriana0–3L
3 May@ Melita3–0W
19 Aprvs Sirens3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hamrun Spartans – last 6

WDLLLD
6 Sep@ Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
29 Augvs Floriana1–1D
22 Aug@ Birkirkara0–1L
17 Augvs Mosta0–2L
16 Julvs NSI Runavik1–2L
9 Jul@ NSI Runavik1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Birzebbuga and Hamrun Spartans.

Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans?

On our numbers Birzebbuga have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hamrun Spartans 71%.

How many goals will there be in Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our predicted score is Birzebbuga 0–1 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birzebbuga vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.