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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mosta v Sliema Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium

Mosta

DWWWW
1–3
FT
Mosta 19%Draw 20%Sliema Wanderers 61% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.63
61%
Betarazi pick

Sliema Wanderers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceSliema Wanderers or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.58

Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Premier League brings Mosta against Sliema Wanderers at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Mosta are 9th on 15 points after 12 matches; Sliema Wanderers are 3rd with 21.

Current form

Mosta, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Marsaxlokk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sliema Wanderers, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Birkirkara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mosta, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Sliema Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Mosta 2–2 Sliema Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mosta 0.7 xG, Sliema Wanderers 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mosta 19%, draw 20%, Sliema Wanderers 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sliema Wanderers or draw (81%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sliema Wanderers to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mosta 0–1 Sliema Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mosta19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Sliema Wanderers61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.37Expected goals
0.74Mosta xG
1.63Sliema Wanderers xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Mosta 0.7 – 1.6 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSliema Wanderers to win ✓61%1.641.75 ▲
Double chanceSliema Wanderers or draw ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.80–
Draw no betSliema Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapMosta +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSliema Wanderers to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.58–

Recent results

Mosta – last 6

DWWWWD
5 Sep@ Marsaxlokk1–1D
30 Augvs Birkirkara1–0W
23 Augvs Balzan FC2–1W
17 Aug@ Hamrun Spartans2–0W
10 May@ Naxxar Lions1–0W
30 Apr@ Birkirkara1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sliema Wanderers – last 6

WWLLLD
6 Sepvs Birkirkara2–1W
30 Aug@ Birzebbuga2–1W
21 Aug@ Floriana0–2L
16 Augvs Hibernians0–2L
30 Apr@ Tarxien Rainbows1–2L
26 Apr@ Zabbar St. Patrick1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Mosta v Sliema Wanderers2–2
Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our pick is Sliema Wanderers to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

On our numbers Mosta have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sliema Wanderers 61%.

How many goals will there be in Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Mosta 0–1 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.