Zabbar St. Patrick 15%Draw 25%Birkirkara 60%Expected goals 0.68 – 1.62
60%
Betarazi pick
Birkirkara to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBirkirkara to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceBirkirkara or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zabbar St. Patrick welcome Birkirkara for a Premier League fixture on Friday 18 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th on 15 points after 12 matches; Birkirkara are 7th with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zabbar St. Patrick, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gzira United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Birkirkara, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hibernians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Birkirkara 2–1 Zabbar St. Patrick. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zabbar St. Patrick 1 win, Birkirkara 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 xG, Birkirkara 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zabbar St. Patrick 15%, draw 25%, Birkirkara 60%.
Lower-risk option: Birkirkara or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Birkirkara to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Birkirkara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zabbar St. Patrick15%fair 6.54 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Birkirkara60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
2.30Expected goals
0.68Zabbar St. Patrick xG
1.62Birkirkara xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 – 1.6 Birkirkara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?
Our pick is Birkirkara to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?
On our numbers Zabbar St. Patrick have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birkirkara 60%.
How many goals will there be in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?
Our predicted score is Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Birkirkara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.