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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zabbar St. Patrick v Birkirkara: numbers & prediction

0–2
FT
Zabbar St. Patrick 15%Draw 25%Birkirkara 60% Expected goals 0.68 – 1.62
60%
Betarazi pick

Birkirkara to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultBirkirkara to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceBirkirkara or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zabbar St. Patrick welcome Birkirkara for a Premier League fixture on Friday 18 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th on 15 points after 12 matches; Birkirkara are 7th with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zabbar St. Patrick, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gzira United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Birkirkara, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hibernians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Birkirkara 2–1 Zabbar St. Patrick. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zabbar St. Patrick 1 win, Birkirkara 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 xG, Birkirkara 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zabbar St. Patrick 15%, draw 25%, Birkirkara 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Birkirkara or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Birkirkara to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Birkirkara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zabbar St. Patrick15%fair 6.54 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Birkirkara60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
2.30Expected goals
0.68Zabbar St. Patrick xG
1.62Birkirkara xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%

From our goals model: Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 – 1.6 Birkirkara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBirkirkara to win ✓60%1.671.75
Double chanceBirkirkara or draw ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Draw no betBirkirkara (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapZabbar St. Patrick +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBirkirkara to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Birkirkara / FT Birkirkara ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.17–

Recent results

Zabbar St. Patrick – last 6

DLDWLD
14 Sep@ Gzira United0–0D
6 Sepvs Hamrun Spartans1–2L
28 Aug@ Hibernians1–1D
22 Augvs Birzebbuga1–0W
16 Aug@ Valletta FC2–4L
10 Mayvs Tarxien Rainbows0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Birkirkara – last 6

DLLWWD
12 Sepvs Hibernians1–1D
6 Sep@ Sliema Wanderers1–2L
30 Aug@ Mosta0–1L
22 Augvs Hamrun Spartans1–0W
17 Augvs Gzira United4–0W
30 Aprvs Mosta1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Birkirkara v Zabbar St. Patrick2–1
21 Feb 2026Birkirkara v Zabbar St. Patrick0–3
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?

Our pick is Birkirkara to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?

On our numbers Zabbar St. Patrick have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birkirkara 60%.

How many goals will there be in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?

Our predicted score is Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Birkirkara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara?

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birkirkara (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.